Client Overview:
RUSI (Royal United Services Institute) is a renowned defence and security think tank based in the UK.
Challenge:
RUSI needed to understand the threat of Al-Shabaab terrorism in the context of the Kenyan elections, as part of the larger Re-Invent program funded by the UK FCDO.
Solution: Grey Dynamics provided comprehensive support through:
- Conducting detailed research and open-source analysis.
- Facilitating access to human interviewees.
- Conducting on-the-ground interviews to gather firsthand insights.
- Performing a data-focused survey on attacks, influence, propaganda, and operations of Al-Shabaab.
Implementation:
- Grey Dynamics started with extensive open-source research to gather preliminary data.
- Identified and reached out to key human interviewees with relevant insights.
- Conducted thorough interviews on the ground to obtain detailed information.
- Compiled and analysed the data to determine the influence of Al-Shabaab on the Kenyan elections.
- Conducted a data-focused survey and provided a monthly incident intelligence report to RUSI, which included analysis of discriminant and indiscriminate attacks, as well as law enforcement responses.
- Fed the findings into the broader Re-Invent program.
Results: The research found no influence from Al-Shabaab on the Kenyan elections, according to the human interviewees. The data-focused survey provided valuable insights into Al-Shabaab’s attacks, influence, propaganda, and operations. This positive outcome significantly enhanced the Re-Invent program’s understanding and strategic approach.