Non-State Actors

Al Shabab Changing Tactics? : Chemical Powder Attack: 22nd March, 2018

March 24, 2018

Ahmed Hassan

 

Key Judgements:

 

I. We judge it almost certain that two females were attacked in Mogadishu with a chemical powder.

 

II. We judge that the attackers were probably from the Al Shabab terrorist group.

 

III. We judge it highly likely the chemical powder remains unidentified due to the lack forensic laboratory equipment.

 

We judge it almost certain that two females were attacked with a chemical powder.The attack happened around 11:00 hours in the Abdi-Aziz district of Mogadishu. The attackers were likely in two vehicles. The powder was likely thrown out of the car in a drive by attack style. 

 

We judge it highly likely that the attackers escaped by blending in to the traffic, since both cars are widely used in Mogadishu. It is therefore almost certain that the attackers preplanned their attack. The identity of the attackers is not confirmed yet. However, after analysis of tactics and vehicles used it is probable that the attackers were members of Al Sahabab. 

 

We judge it highly likely that the two victims were hospitalised, after complaining about difficulties breathing and loss of sight. It is highly likely that the chemical has not been identified at the moment of writing, since the Somali government lacks the capability to identify all chemicals.

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