Non-State Actors

Al Shabab Changing Tactics?
: Chemical Powder Attack: 22nd March, 2018

March 24, 2018

Ahmed Hassan

Key Judgements: I. We judge it almost certain that two females were attacked in Mogadishu with a chemical powder. II. We judge that the attackers were probably from the Al Shabab terrorist group. III. We judge it highly likely the chemical powder remains unidentified due to the lack forensic laboratory equipment. We judge it almost certain that two females were attacked with a chemical powder.The attack happened around 11:00 hours in the Abdi-Aziz district of…

Non-State Actors

The Current State of Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea

January 25, 2018

Sune J. Andersen

Members of a visit, board, search and seizure team from the guided-missile cruiser USS Gettysburg and U.S. Coast Tactical Law Enforcement Team South Detachment 409 capture suspected pirates after responding to a merchant vessel distress signal while operating in the Combined Maritime Forces area of responsibility as part of Combined Task Force 151. CTF 151 is a multinational task force established to conduct counter-piracy operations under a mission-based mandate throughout the CMF area of responsibility to actively deter, disrupt and…

Non-State Actors

How Non-State Actors are Making a Difference on the Battlefield of Tomorrow (Part 1)

November 15, 2017

Ahmed Hassan

In the novel environment of non-war, non-linear and asymmetry dubbed the Gray Zone by the DOD, we believe there is a place for non-state actors, particularly in the intelligence domain. We chose the name: Grey Dynamics because we strive to understand this environment, through practical experience or research or a combination of the two, in an effort to inhabit and overcome this space. Grey also represents the “grey matter” that is to say the human brain, which we see, as the key…

Non-State Actors

Live Tactical Analysis
: Somalia, 28th Oct., 2017

October 28, 2017

Seju Kim

Update Status: Closed Analytic Judgement * Almost certain that Al Shabab is responsible (1502, 28th Oct., 2017) * Likely that Al Shabab assessed the bystanders near blast site before attack (1610, 28th Oct., 2017) * Realistic possibility that Al Shabab informants reside near blast site (1613, 28th Oct., 2017) * Realistic possibility of Al Shabab info collection operations (1613, 28th Oct., 2017) * Highly likely that truck used for first VBIED (1648, 28th Oct., 2017) * Unlikely that Al Shabab active shooters wear uniform of Nasablod 2 Hotel security staff (1659, 28th Oct., 2017) * Likely…