grey dynamics

A Deadman’s Switch
: Non-state actors and what lies ahead for Cameroon

January 7, 2020

Jesutimilehin Akamo

    This article attempts to use a ‘Deadman's switch’ model to describe the eventuality of what may become of the Cameroon Anglophone Civil Society Consortium (CACSC). A Deadman's switch is designed to be activated or deactivated if the operator becomes incapacitated or relieved of control. At the point where the operator of CACSC is relieved of control for any reason, Cameroon may see the birth of a full-blown long-lasting violent conflict.   Reconstructed Scenario is based on the following…

Is Africa the next frontier for ISIS?

December 23, 2019

Ana-Maria Baloi

    In recent months the African continent has witnessed the strengthening of the Jihadi Salafist movement. Multiple attacks have been conducted by the Islamic State and its affiliates across several regions. The Salafi-jihadi movement currently has four main centers of activity in Africa: Libya, Mali, the Horn of Africa, and the Lake Chad Basin. These epicenters are connected while exchanging recruits and providing funding and expertise. However, the Sahel remains the most endangered region, given the Islamic State in…

Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea

August 13, 2019

Jacob O'Hare

    The Gulf of Guinea led the world in piracy in 2018. The International Maritime Bureau (IMB) recorded 201 incidents in 2018, up from 180 in 2017. The gulf accounted for,   6 hijackings 13 of the 18 ships took fire 130 of the 141 hostages 78 of 83 seafarers taken for ransom worldwide   The statistics above are the ones reported, but the IMB believes half of attacks go unreported. Piracy should be a concern for corporations that…

The Threat of Hezbollah in Latin America: Smoking gun or False Red Flag?

August 8, 2019

Dylan Ramshaw

  While an Iranian and U.S. standoff heats up, a lower intensity effort against the Iranian proxy group Hezbollah in Latin America is underway. This month, Argentina became the first country in the region to designate Hezbollah as a "terrorist" organization and froze the known Hezbollah assets in the country.    The decision coincided with the 25th anniversary of a Jewish community centre bombing in Buenos Aires that killed 85 people. Argentina also blames Hezbollah for a 1992 attack on the…

The Paraguayan People’s Army: Latin America’s Enduring Insurgency

August 7, 2019

Dylan Ramshaw

    The Paraguayan People’s Army (EPP) is one of the first violent organizations to appear after the Cold War in Latin America and one of the last ideologically-based, non-state armed groups in the region. In a continent suffering from widespread drug-trafficking and cartels, this group is something of a unique phenomenon.    The emergence of the EPP has been relatively recent and, although a small group, it has been a thorn in the side to the Paraguayan government and…

Niger Delta Avengers

July 29, 2019

Jacob O'Hare

  In 2016 Nigeria was rocked by attacks on their oil fields, totaling up to 4.6 billion dollars lost in revenue by militants. This loss of income for the country contributed to the recession in Nigeria that year, and the same time the Niger Delta Avengers (NDA) came to existence. Exactly who are the Niger Delta Avengers, and what do they seek to accomplish?       About Niger Delta Avengers   A militant group that attacks Nigeria’s oil &…