Romania’s 12-Month Security Forecast


    As the Russia-Ukraine War continues, Romania will have to be prepared. Romania’s focus will especially be on the Black Sea and Moldova. The war has been a push for Romania to intensify its military capabilities and build stronger relations with other nations. This includes relations with the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO), the European Union (EU), and Moldova.

    For 2023, it is likely that Romania will focus on becoming a greater representation in the EU and NATO, focused on the security of the Black Sea Region, and its economic relationship with Moldova as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war

    Key Judgement 1. It is highly likely that Romania will further its cooperative developments with NATO and the EU within the next 12 months, as a way to be better represented on the world stage.

    Key Judgement 2. As a result of Russia’s activity in the Black Sea and the continuation of the Russia-Ukraine war, Romania will highly likely focus on continuing to build its military capabilities over the next 12 months.

    Key Judgement 3. Romania is currently in the midst of building closer economic ties with Moldova, an economic power move that will more than likely support its military and overall security developments as a strategic move to combat the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war.

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    Allison Baddeley
    Allison Baddeley
    Allison is a Junior Intelligence Analyst with a focus on transnational organised crime (drug trafficking networks in particular), criminal intelligence, and terrorism.

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