Russian Subs in Norwegian Waters: a 12-Month Forecast

Norway, being a North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) member, has recently been recognised as a top priority country in need of NATO’s security resources. With the Russia-Ukraine war still going on, Russian submarines recently found near the Norwegian coast in February 2023, are a cause for great concern.

Over the next 12 months, Norway will have a heavy focus on developing its naval capabilities. It is relying on its alliance with NATO for further protection against Russia, and amplifying its air patrolling measures.

Key Judgment 1. In the next 12 months, it is highly likely that Norway will further develop its naval strategies and capabilities, as a means to protect its waters against Russia. 

Key Judgment 2. Relying on NATO for further protection will highly likely be a priority for Norway’s security measures over the course of these next 12 months. 

Key Judgment 3. Amplifying its air patrol measures is highly likely to take place over the course of 2023 to early 2024.