grey dynamics

 

 

For almost a year, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has been ravaged by an Ebola outbreak. It is now considered the second worst after the West Africa outbreak of 2014-15. However, the DRC outbreak is the first known case in an active war zone.

 

Conflict has plagued the country for decades and the outbreak is prolonged due to the escalating violence between rebel groups, militias, and state security forces in Ituri and North Kivu provinces. The refugee crisis resulting from the seemingly never-ending violence now threatens containment efforts and poses risks to DRC’s neighbors, namely Uganda and South Sudan.

 

• According to the World Health Organization (WHO), the Ebola outbreak in DRC has killed 1,630 people and surpassed 2,400 documented cases; the largest recorded was in West Africa from that killed more than 11,000 people in 2014-15
  
  
• More than 147,000 people have received an experimental vaccination proven effective in 97.5 percent of cases
  
  
• The WHO warned in June that a quarter of all cases in the DRC may be going undetected
  
  
• Violent attacks on health workers, treatment centres, and fear and mistrust of the government have impeded relief efforts
  
  
• In June alone, over 400,000 civilians fled heavy fighting in Ituri province, a region also deeply affected by the Ebola outbreak

 

 

 

Patient zero

 

On 11 June, the Ugandan Ministry of Health confirmed a case of Ebola in Kasese district, which borders North Kivu. A 5-year-old child from DRC travelled with his family into Uganda to seek medical care after attending the funeral of the child’s grandfather who had himself died from Ebola. Health workers identified Ebola as a possible cause of the child’s illness. The child reportedly died the next day and his grandmother travelling with him died shortly thereafter. The boy’s 3-year-old brother was also diagnosed with Ebola in Uganda but was treated and reportedly survived.

 

 

 

 

 

On high alert

 

According to the WHO, Uganda had prepared for this precise moment. Health authorities in the country have vaccinated nearly 4,700 health workers and set up Ebola treatment units. The porous and nearly 900-kilometer long border shared by Uganda and DRC has been under careful watch since the outbreak began. Both Ituri and North Kivu provinces are on DRC’s eastern border with Uganda.

 

Containment is problematic with a steady flow of refugees seeking safety from the rising conflict. According to a spokesman for the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR), more than 300 people were crossing the border daily between DRC and Uganda in June. To make matters worse, two new Ebola-screening centers, set-up in response to the cases in Kasese district, were firebombed on 2 July. It is alleged that Congolese nationals attacked the facilities tents over anger with Ugandan authorities’ strict medical screening measures.

 

 

 

 

 

On the doorstep

 

Like DRC, South Sudan is a country embroiled in civil war and very unprepared to handle Ebola. On 1 July, an Ebola case was confirmed just 70 kilometers from DRC’s border with South Sudan. A 40-year-old Congolese woman traveled nearly 500 kilometers from Beni, a city in North Kivu, after having been exposed to Ebola and warned not to travel by health officials.

 

Conflict, millions of internally displaced, and a weak health system make the world’s newest country extremely vulnerable to a major health crisis like Ebola. Dr Pinyi Nyimol, the director general of South Sudan’s Disease Control and Emergency Response Centre, told AFP that “we are very worried because it is coming nearer, and people are on the move so contact (with Ebola) could cross to South Sudan”.

 

 

 

Not an international concern

 

In spite of the recent cases in Uganda, the WHO deemed that the Ebola outbreak in DRC “does not meet the criteria for a public health emergency of international concern,” in a statement after an emergency meeting in June. Declaring the outbreak a global emergency would release more funding and provide more political attention to the issue. However, an outbreak must constitute an international risk, such as to a country’s neighbors.

Speaking to the BBC, Tedros Adhanom Ghebryesus, chief executive of the WHO said, “when there is no peace and lack of security the health condition of the people is the most affected.” He added, “unless we affect the root cause of the problem, we won’t have solutions.” The question is whether solutions to the violence that has afflicted DRC for decades will be resolved in time before Ebola wreaks havoc on even its more vulnerable neighbors.

 

 

 

 

Image: Centro Studi Internazionale (link)

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Grey Dynamics LTD.