The Deterioration of U.S. and China Relations: A 24-Month Forecast

America and China have a long history of strained relations, long before China became a communist nation in 1949 (source). Their economic alliance allows both nations’ economies to flourish but their ‘teamwork’ tactics fail in other areas. Between 2020 and 2022, this relationship has been at a consistent downfall.

Over the next 24 months, the international stage can expect to see a continuation of the deterioration of China and America relations. The contributing factors include China’s discussion of invading Taiwan, America’s democratic boycott of the Beijing Olympics, and China’s surveillance of the Arctic. 

Key Judgment 1.  It is likely that one of the causes for the downfall of China and America relations over the next 24 months is a result of China’s discussed goal of invading Taiwan. 

Key Judgment 2. It is highly likely that the American-initiated diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics in Beijing in 2022, will play a role in the downfall of relations over the next 24 months. 

Key Judgment 3. With China’s several attempts to survey the Arctic region, growing tensions between the U.S. and China are highly likely to increase over the next 24 months.