Instability in Pakistan: A 12-month Forecast


    Pakistan’s political and security situation has deteriorated in the last 3 years. Chaos and violence will likely intensify in the near term. The country struggles with a fragile economy on the brink of collapse (source), political infighting between the major parties and the key political figures, and the overbearing influence of the army on national politics. Furthermore, the US withdrawal from Afghanistan has left a geopolitical void which has opened the way for China and the Tehreek-e-Taliban (TTP) (source).

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    Nicola Barbesino
    Nicola Barbesino
    Nicola is a student at the International Master in Security, Intelligence and Strategic Studies. The main focus regions are the Sahel and Central Africa. His main areas of interest include European security, right-wing extremism, and military strategy

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