Pakistan-India: Situational Assessment on Targeted Killings

The escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, exacerbated by recent allegations of targeted killings by Indian secret services, signify a critical juncture in Indo-Pakistani relations with far-reaching implications for regional stability. Furthermore, the strategic shifts in India’s counterterrorism and intelligence warfare tactics, as evidenced by the likely conduct of targeted killings within Pakistan signifies a change in the dynamic of the relationship. These actions, coupled with the subsequent diplomatic responses from both nations, underscore the fragility of peace in the region and highlight the potential for further destabilisation of an already volatile relationship. The cycle of accusation and counter-accusation not only fuels the fire of discord but also diverts attention from potential avenues of diplomatic engagement and conflict resolution.

Key Judgement 1: Indian secret services have likely conducted targeted killings in Pakistan, focusing on individuals identified as threats to national security.

Key Judgement 2: The adoption of targeted killings by India, aimed at individuals linked to anti-India sentiments and activities, indicates a recalibration of its counterterrorism and intelligence strategy. 

Key Judgement 3: The allegations and subsequent reactions from both nations risk further destabilising the already volatile Indo-Pakistani relations.