The Falklands Question: A 24-month Forecast


    The Falkland Islands (in Spanish “Islas Malvinas”) are a British Overseas Territory located in the South Atlantic Ocean. In 1982 Argentina invaded and occupied the islands, and a British task force was sent to retake them. After a short but intense military campaign, the British forces successfully regained control of the islands. Today, Argentina continues to claim sovereignty over the Falkland Islands, and the dispute remains unresolved. Despite a solution that can be achieved through diplomatic efforts, there is no significant progress made in recent years. However, Argentina continues to seek negotiations about the Falkland Question.

    Key judgement 1. It is highly likely that in the next 24 months, Argentina will continue to claim the Falklands as its own, criticising the British “occupation” of the islands, while calling for bilateral talks.

    Key judgement 2. It is highly likely that in the next 24 months, the UK will continue to defend its sovereignty over the islands, opposing their return to Argentina while maintaining its arms embargo.

    Key judgement 3. It is likely that in the next 24 months, the UN, as well as other international organisations, will continue to call for a peaceful resolution of the conflict, which involves the “decolonisation” of the islands by the United Kingdom.

    The rest of this content is locked and only accessible to Secret Plan, Top Secret Plan, Secret Plan Annual , and Top Secret Plan Annual members only.
    Login Join Now

    Javier Sutil Toledano
    Javier Sutil Toledano
    Javier is a Junior Intelligence Analyst specialising in South America, Central America and the Caribbean. He graduated in Philosophy, Politics and Economics, with a minor in Peace and Conflict Studies. He recently graduated from an International Master's Degree in Security, Intelligence and Strategic Studies.

    Table of contents


    Get the weekly email from Grey Dynamics that makes reading intel articles and reports actually enjoyable. Join our mailing list to stay in the loop for free!

    Related contents

    Learn to create professional videos and have fun in the process of creating videos.
    Video Review And Collaboration.
    Get Started
    Subscribe to our Free Newsletter!