Iran-Sudan Relations: Drone Supply & Red Sea Access

Iran-Sudan relations have seen a dramatic rise in cooperation between the two governments. This has been characterised by an increase in the Iranian supply of high-tech weapons and equipment, namely the Mohajer-6 drone which the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) has utilised in its fight against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Additionally, Iran has been attempting to secure a Red Sea naval port so that it can refuel and repair its ships whilst also projecting strength onto the other side of its historical regional rival, Saudi Arabia. After an 8-year absence in relations between the two states, there appears to be an upward trend in regards to governmental relations.

Key Judgment 1. It is highly likely that Iran will increasingly provide weapons and high-tech equipment, especially drones, to the Sudanese Armed Forces

Key Judgment 2. It is highly likely that Iran will attempt to secure a Red Sea port through diplomatic agreements with Sudan

Key Judgment 3. It is highly likely that Iran-Sudan relations will improve after being absent for more than 8 years

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