Ireland will likely increase military spending while continuing reliance on Britain’s Royal Air Force for airspace security. Meanwhile, Russia’s persistent strategy to gain influence and gather intelligence in the North Atlantic poses a direct threat to Irish sovereignty. Ireland faces a critical juncture in its national security strategy, marked by a substantial shift towards bolstering defence capabilities and addressing gaps in airspace security. Ireland’s actions in the coming year are a response to this complex geopolitical landscape and will have implications for Ireland’s defence posture and strategic partnerships.

Key Judgement 1. Ireland is likely to exponentially invest in military spending to strengthen national security.

Key Judgement 2. Ireland will likely continue to rely on Britain and the RAF to ensure the safety of Irish airspace.

Key Judgement 3. Russia will likely continue their strategy to gain increasing influence and gather intelligence in the North Atlantic. Which directly poses a threat to Irish sovereignty.