Protests in Kenya over a proposed tax hike have left several people dead and have also resulted in scenes of rioting across the capital Nairobi. The deployment of the military has also raised fears of reprisals by military forces aimed at quelling the Kenyan protests. Additionally, there have been several instances of abuses by government forces in regards to the protests. This includes alleged restrictions placed on internet access. Social tensions in Kenya, already high due to a cost of living crisis, have been and will surely be exacerbated by the protests over the proposed tax hike legislation.

Key Judgment 1. It is highly likely that military and police forces will use excessive force in order to quell Kenyan protests.

Key Judgment 2. It is highly likely that the government will resort to using illicit tactics in order to stop the tax hike protests.

Key Judgment 3. It is highly likely that the Kenyan protests over the proposed tax hike will exacerbate already existing tensions within Kenya.