Taking Taiwan: Beijing Channeling Sun Tzu?

Executive Summary

The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and broader PRC state apparatus, in preparation for a potential Taiwan campaign, are applying at least three core principles found in Sun Tzu’s seminal work, The Art of War: the decisive use of overwhelming force, reliance on espionage, and the strategic manipulation of timing. A detailed understanding of the classic work could help limit surprise over China’s actions when Beijing finally moves against the island nation.

China’s sustained expansion of covert operations in Taiwan is evident in the surge in espionage indictments and arrests in 2024–2025. Specifically, it demonstrates an effort to degrade Taiwan’s readiness from within. Concurrently, Beijing’s rapid force buildup—including new carriers, amphibious assets, and extensive gray zone deployments—positions the PLA to achieve battlefield dominance. 

Finally, Beijing’s rhetoric surrounding a 2027 “readiness” goal, paired with accelerating operational milestones, reflects a deliberate use of timing. Timing acts as both strategic deception and coercive signal. This is consistent with Sun Tzu’s dictum to strike when the enemy is unprepared. These developments underscore a coordinated, multi-domain strategy to coerce or seize Taiwan, possibly before the anticipated 2027 timeframe.

Alex Papastergiou

Table of Contents

Related Content

Mali: Jihadist Offensive Kills Defense Minister, Takes Towns, Presses Bamako

Location:_ North Africa
Locked

Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr: Militarizing Iran’s National Security Strategy 

Location:_ MENA
Tags:_ Iran
Locked

Ukraine: Infantry-Drone Integration Provides Tactical Advantage

Location:_ Europe

Stay in the loop

Get a free weekly email that makes reading
intel articles and reports actually enjoyable.

Table of Contents

Log in

Stay in the loop

Join thousands of people receiving ground truth based reports that affect their business, investments and personal life.

Contact

Contact

"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.