U.S. Civil War 2.0: Players, Probability, Prospects

Executive Summary

Rising US political polarisation has deepened ideological differences between Democrats and Republicans, with stronger ties to social identities. This polarisation has fuelled political violence while eroding trust in institutions. As hate crimes escalate, a sizable section of the population believes that a US civil war is a serious possibility. Addressing these developments necessitates concerted initiatives to reduce polarisation and rebuild trust in democratic processes.

Images Sourced From: Ron Lyon, Fibonacci Blue, John Rothwell, Anthony Crider

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