Countering Insurgency: Forecast on Burkina Faso

On 25 November, jihadists killed over 40 civilians. Burkina Faso has faced worsening instability as it battles extremist groups and distances itself from France and the EU.

Instead of repairing relations with their former security partners, Burkina has sought to further their relationship with the Wagner PMC and establish a security partnership with Mali and Niger. The search for alternative security partners has led to further cooperation with Russia on energy development and security issues. Burkina’s junta finds itself between terrorist groups, a hostile international community, and aggravated parts of its own population. 

Key Judgement 1: It is highly unlikely that the regime will gain the hearts and minds of the population in the near term.

Key Judgement 2: It is likely that terrorist activity will undermine Burkina’s human security so long as the security services are disorganised and inefficient.

Key Judgement 3: It is likely that Burkina Faso will look for alternative energy and partnerships to replace African and European countries and financial institutions.

Rest of this post is for paying members only

Already have an account?  Log in

Free Plan
Free
Secret Plan
$14.99
/ month
Recommended
Top Secret Plan
$39.99
/ month
Free Plan
Free
Secret Plan
$14.99
/ month
Recommended
Top Secret Plan
$39.99
/ month
Table of Contents

Related Content

Secret

Dirty Bomb: Do Drones and AI Change the Game? 

Secret

Canada and the US: The Forgotten Border?

Location:_ North America
Secret

John Ratcliffe: New CIA Chief Guns For Strategic Adversaries

Location:_ North America
Secret

M23 Capture of Goma: A Prelude for War Declaration and Food Crisis

Location:_ Central Africa
Secret

Arctic Forecast 2025: France

Location:_ Arctic, Europe
Secret

Arctic Forecast 2025: United Kingdom

Location:_ Arctic, Europe

Stay in the loop

Get a free weekly email that makes reading intel articles and reports actually enjoyable.

Log in

Stay in the loop

Get a free weekly email that makes reading Intelligence Reports and Articles actually enjoyable.

Table of Contents

Contact

Contact

"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.