Background

The eastern Mediterranean Sea is a region of strategic importance to the United States. Its geopolitical, energy, and historical influence on the region is a vital aspect of its naval strategy. With a focus on counterterrorism operations, the US collaborates with key partners like Israel and engages in NATO initiatives to ensure maritime security along trade routes. The discovery of substantial energy resources in the region has added an economic dimension to US interests, prompting efforts to support allies in resource development and protection. 

Key Judgement 1. The aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford is likely to remain in the Eastern Mediterranean for the next 6 months.

Key Judgement 2. Iranian-backed militias will likely launch more attacks on US positions in Syria and Iraq over the next 6 months. 

Key Judgement 3. In the next 6 months, the US will likely use forces in the Mediterranean Sea to support its efforts in the Red Sea.