Warnings against the increased risk posed by domestic terrorism have increased in the United States. This has included calls from the head of the FBI and also the Department of Homeland Security that these threats have increased. Additionally, the southern border has seen a definitive increase in the amount of crossings by individuals linked to terror groups. The 2024 US presidential election has also seen an increase in arrests and court cases. This is primarily against individuals who have been accused of threatening violence against judges and also elected officials. Also, the 2024 election cycle has seen warnings issued regarding the increased threat posed by domestic terrorism along a polarised US political sphere.

Key Judgment 1. It is highly likely that the southern border of the USA will pose an increased risk of crossings by individuals with terror links.

Key Judgment 2. It is highly likely that US officials will increasingly warn against domestic terrorism threats.

Key Judgment 3. It is highly likely that threats of domestic terrorism and calls for violence will rise in the run-up to the 2024 US election.