On 5 March, Russia’s government endorsed a military cooperation agreement draft with the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Initially, the DRC was sceptical and denied reports of entering into collaboration with Russia highlighting their caution in dealing with Russia. Due to concerns about sovereignty, security implications, and potential geopolitical consequences. Ultimately, the DRC entered into military cooperation with Russia which marks a significant development in bilateral relations between the two countries. The draft agreement encompasses joint military exercises, ship visits, combat aircraft operations, and military training initiatives.

Amidst growing global geopolitical shifts, Russia’s strategic interests in Africa have intensified. Moreover, the proposed military cooperation agreement signals a deepening of ties between Russia and the DRC. Therefore, this could potentially impact regional security dynamics and geopolitical alignments in Central Africa. Additionally, this report will delve into the implications of this military cooperation agreement on the strategic partnership between Russia and the DRC, analysing the potential outcomes and challenges that may arise from this enhanced collaboration. 

Key Judgement 1. Russia will likely strengthen its formal relations with the DRC in the next 12 months. 

Key Judgement 2. The DRC will likely continue to be sceptical about Russian relations due to concerns over sovereignty, security implications and potential geopolitical consequences in the next 12 months. 

Key Judgement 3. Russia will likely seek to challenge American and European influence in Central Africa in the next 12 months.