US Downsizing Invites Russian and Chinese Expansion in Africa

Executive Summary

Planned US downsizing in diplomatic presence, foreign aid, and military footprint across Africa is likely accelerating the decline of Western influence across the continent, contributing to a strategic vacuum open to adversarial gains. As a result, this environment presents opportunities for global competitors, primarily Russia and China, to deepen their engagement and expand influence through diverse strategies. Such a shift significantly softens the US’s historic advantage and poses challenges to US security interests, counterterrorism efforts, access to critical minerals, and democratic development in the region.

Images Sourced From: Cpl. Jacob Richardson

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